AEK Atina vs Aris Saloniki Prediction — Model Probabilities
AEK Atina v Aris Saloniki — Team-Based Signals
AEK Atina vs Aris Saloniki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
AEK Atina 1-0 Aris Saloniki — Actual Match Statistics
AEK Atina came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Aris Saloniki 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 46%.
Under the surface, AEK Atina had 66% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 34%, shots finished 27-6, expected goals 2.51 to 0.50 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold AEK Atina's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for AEK Atina and 0.33 for Aris Saloniki.
AEK Atina vs Aris Saloniki Result & Final Score
AEK Atina 1 - 0 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Super League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
AEK Atina vs Aris Saloniki Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 68%, draw 21%, Aris Saloniki 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.