Velez Mostar 2-1 Siroki Brijeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup, 11 Feb 2026

📅11/02/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.45
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-8.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.9pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Siroki Brijeg EU Bookmakers 15%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.38/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.30
-4% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +17%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Mostar
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Siroki Brijeg
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-0 HT 1-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
10.08.2025 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 1-3 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
28.03.2025 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-5 HT 0-2 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
12.03.2025 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-2 HT 0-1 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSK
26.02.2025 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-0 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSK
23.11.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 3-1 HT 2-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
POST-MATCH Velez Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Mostar squeezed past Siroki Brijeg 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Velez Mostar as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Velez Mostar had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Velez Mostar and 1.33 for Siroki Brijeg.

What was the final score of Velez Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg?

Velez Mostar 2-1 Siroki Brijeg in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup on 11/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Velez Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Velez Mostar 56%, draw 23%, Siroki Brijeg 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Velez Mostar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Velez Mostar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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