PAOK 2-0 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 11 Feb 2026

📅11/02/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.13
6+ Goals
8%
20.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.63 — our 34% vs market 31.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.7
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
14%
4.46
X/2
10%
7.86
X/X
16%
4.28
2/1
12%
27.5
2/2
14%
6.45
2/X
8%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.72/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.27/0.66
-45% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / +78%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAOK
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Panathinaikos
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.00 xG 1.10
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 Passes 262
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2026 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-1 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUK
21.12.2025 PAOK PAOK 2-0 HT 1-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
09.11.2025 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-1 HT 2-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
27.04.2025 PAOK PAOK 2-1 HT 1-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
13.04.2025 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 3-1 HT 2-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
05.01.2025 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-1 HT 1-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
2-0
AWAY Panathinaikos
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH PAOK vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK got the better of Panathinaikos 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, PAOK had 57% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 43%, shots finished 12-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for PAOK and 1.33 for Panathinaikos.

What was the final score of PAOK vs Panathinaikos?

PAOK 2-0 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Cup on 11/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAOK vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split PAOK 42%, draw 29%, Panathinaikos 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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