Curzon Ashton 3-0 Chorley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.54
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.13
6+ Goals
8%
20.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Chorley EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
1.31/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.40
-7% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
256 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Curzon Ashton
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Chorley
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Chorley Chorley 0-3 HT 0-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
24.04.2024 Chorley Chorley 0-0 HT 0-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
23.12.2023 Chorley Chorley 4-0 HT 2-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
30.09.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 2-1 HT 0-1 Chorley Chorley FAK
09.09.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-1 HT 0-1 Chorley Chorley İCON
25.03.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 2-1 HT 2-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Curzon Ashton
3-0
AWAY Chorley
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Curzon Ashton vs Chorley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curzon Ashton swept aside Chorley 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Curzon Ashton found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Curzon Ashton had 56% of the ball to Chorley's 44%, shots finished 12-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Curzon Ashton had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Curzon Ashton and 1.17 for Chorley.

What was the final score of Curzon Ashton vs Chorley?

Curzon Ashton 3-0 Chorley in the England - Conference on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Curzon Ashton vs Chorley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Curzon Ashton win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Curzon Ashton 40%, draw 30%, Chorley 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Curzon Ashton), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Curzon Ashton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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