Briton Ferry 1-1 Newtown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.13
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
2.81
6+ Goals
11%
8.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+5.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.9pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Newtown EU Bookmakers 43%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -1%
1.55/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.24
+16% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Briton Ferry
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Newtown
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
24.01.2025 Newtown Newtown 2-2 HT 2-1 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GAL
03.12.2024 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 2-1 HT 0-0 Newtown Newtown GAL
07.09.2024 Newtown Newtown 1-0 HT 0-0 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GAL
POST-MATCH Briton Ferry vs Newtown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Briton Ferry and Newtown couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Briton Ferry at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Briton Ferry and 1.33 for Newtown.

What was the final score of Briton Ferry vs Newtown?

Briton Ferry 1-1 Newtown in the Wales - Premier League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Briton Ferry vs Newtown?

Before kick-off our model rated a Briton Ferry win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Briton Ferry 41%, draw 25%, Newtown 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Briton Ferry), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Briton Ferry) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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