Connahs Quay 4-0 Flint Town United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.09
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
2.82
6+ Goals
8%
8.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
34%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Flint Town United EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -15%
1.77/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/2.45
+1% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -40%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
448 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Connahs Quay
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Flint Town United
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.01.2025 Flint Town United Flint Town United 2-1 HT 1-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
26.12.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 7-2 HT 6-1 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
26.08.2024 Flint Town United Flint Town United 0-1 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
09.12.2023 Flint Town United Flint Town United 0-3 HT 0-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GALWK
31.12.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 0-0 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
26.12.2022 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-0 HT 0-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Connahs Quay
4-0
AWAY Flint Town United
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Connahs Quay vs Flint Town United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Connahs Quay ran out comfortable winners over Flint Town United 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Connahs Quay had 52% of the ball to Flint Town United's 48%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Connahs Quay and 0.67 for Flint Town United.

What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Flint Town United?

Connahs Quay 4-0 Flint Town United in the Wales - Premier League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Flint Town United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 53%, draw 26%, Flint Town United 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✓ Over 2.5
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