Portimonense U23 3-3 Leixoes U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 33%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.78/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.07
-47% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +39%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense U23
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Leixoes U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.01.2025 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 1-0 HT 0-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
09.04.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 1-1 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
05.02.2024 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 1-2 HT 0-1 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense U23
3-3
AWAY Leixoes U23
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Portimonense U23 vs Leixoes U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense U23 and Leixoes U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Portimonense U23 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portimonense U23 had 55% of the ball to Leixoes U23's 45%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Portimonense U23 and 1.00 for Leixoes U23.

What was the final score of Portimonense U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Portimonense U23 3-3 Leixoes U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portimonense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Portimonense U23 42%, draw 30%, Leixoes U23 28%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Portimonense U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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