Farense U23 0-1 Mafra U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 25%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.50/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.67/2.02
+41% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +121% / -18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farense U23
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Mafra U23
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.01.2025 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 2-0 HT 2-0 Farense U23 Farense U23 PORU23
26.11.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 5-1 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 UŞGB
27.08.2024 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 1-1 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
26.04.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 3-2 HT 1-1 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 PORU23
20.02.2024 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 0-0 HT 0-0 Farense U23 Farense U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense U23
0-1
AWAY Mafra U23
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Farense U23 vs Mafra U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mafra U23 edged past Farense U23 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Farense U23 at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Farense U23 had 50% of the ball to Mafra U23's 50%, shots finished 11-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Farense U23 had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Farense U23 and 1.20 for Mafra U23.

What was the final score of Farense U23 vs Mafra U23?

Farense U23 0-1 Mafra U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense U23 vs Mafra U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Farense U23 48%, draw 27%, Mafra U23 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Farense U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Farense U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PORU23 More Portugal - U23 National Championship
11 Mar 2025
14:00 Portimonense U23 vs Leixoes U23 Analysis →
15:00 Santa Clara U23 vs Rio Ave U23 Analysis →
18:00 Estrela U23 vs Estoril U23 Analysis →
18:00 Sporting CP U23 vs Torreense U23 Analysis →
18:00 Sporting Braga U23 vs Academico Viseu U23 Analysis →