Santa Clara U23 3-0 Rio Ave U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.78
Over 2.5
32%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.2pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.4pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.7pp
68%
Under 2.5
52%
+15.9pp
32%
Over 2.5
48%
-15.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.3pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.29/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.61
-9% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
380 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara U23
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Rio Ave U23
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2025 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 4-5 HT 3-2 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 PORU23
16.04.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 2-3 HT 2-2 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 PORU23
13.02.2024 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 1-1 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara U23
3-0
AWAY Rio Ave U23
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 11
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santa Clara U23 vs Rio Ave U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara U23 cruised past Rio Ave U23 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Santa Clara U23 made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (68%) missed.

On the day, Santa Clara U23 had 44% of the ball to Rio Ave U23's 56%, shots finished 7-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Santa Clara U23 had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Santa Clara U23 and 2.33 for Rio Ave U23.

What was the final score of Santa Clara U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Santa Clara U23 3-0 Rio Ave U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara U23 34%, draw 33%, Rio Ave U23 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara U23), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Clara U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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