CF Montreal 1-2 Philadelphia Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.9
Over
53%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.69
No
44%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
40%
4-5
24%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME CF Montreal The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Philadelphia Union The Market 37%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.37 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.38
1.20 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.27
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
20.0 Crosses 18.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Montreal
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Philadelphia Union
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.30 xG 1.73
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
358 Passes 315
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.07.2025 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 2-1 HT 1-1 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
04.05.2025 CF Montreal CF Montreal 1-2 HT 1-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
10.08.2024 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 2-0 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal CONLK
30.06.2024 CF Montreal CF Montreal 4-2 HT 1-2 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
02.06.2024 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 2-2 HT 0-1 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
04.06.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 3-0 HT 2-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Montreal
1-2
AWAY Philadelphia Union
1.05 xG 1.07
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
240 Passes 235
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Philadelphia Union found just enough to beat CF Montreal 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We leaned CF Montreal at 41% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 50% to 50% in CF Montreal's favour, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 1.05 to 1.07.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for CF Montreal against 2.17 for Philadelphia Union.

CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union Result & Final Score

CF Montreal 1-2 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Montreal win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 41%, draw 24%, Philadelphia Union 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CF Montreal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CF Montreal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
11 Apr 2026
20:00 Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati Analysis →
21:30 Austin vs Los Angeles Galaxy Analysis →
23:45 Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles FC Analysis →