HJK Helsinki 0-1 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.98
4-5 Goals
27%
2.57
6+ Goals
11%
6.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.1
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
25%
4.58
X/2
7%
9.58
X/X
11%
6.4
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
19.1
2/2
9%
6.49
2/X
5%
14.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.1 — our 13% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
55%
+1.4pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.0pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-1.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.9pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -17%
1.86/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.58
+1% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
17.9 Crosses 17.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HJK Helsinki
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Oulu
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.66 xG 0.79
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
436 Passes 252
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2026 Oulu Oulu 2-1 HT 0-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FLK
21.08.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-0 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİK
20.07.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 3-1 HT 2-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
14.06.2025 Oulu Oulu 0-4 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
27.07.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 3-0 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
31.05.2024 Oulu Oulu 1-0 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HJK Helsinki
0-1
AWAY Oulu
0.92 xG 0.61
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
536 Passes 273
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH HJK Helsinki vs Oulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oulu nicked a narrow win over HJK Helsinki 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. HJK Helsinki carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, HJK Helsinki had 64% of the ball to Oulu's 36%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.92 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for HJK Helsinki and 0.67 for Oulu.

What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs Oulu?

HJK Helsinki 0-1 Oulu in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated a HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 57%, draw 22%, Oulu 21%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN More Finland - Veikkausliiga
11 Apr 2026
14:00 KuPS Kuopio vs Gnistan Analysis →
19:00 Inter Turku vs Ilves Tampere Analysis →