Inter Turku 2-1 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.57
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 26% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
3.03
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
6%
12.15
X/1
9%
5.19
X/2
8%
6.77
X/X
9%
4.78
2/1
6%
24.35
2/2
21%
4.59
2/X
6%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.2pp
21%
Draw
27%
-6.1pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.6pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.78/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.21
+9% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
16.0 Crosses 13.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Turku
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.23 xG 0.65
49% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
391 Passes 399
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
30 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2026 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-2 HT 2-2 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FLK
09.11.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-0 HT 2-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
19.10.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-2 HT 1-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
23.08.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-0 HT 1-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
17.05.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-1 HT 1-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
08.03.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 0-4 HT 0-2 Inter Turku Inter Turku FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Turku
2-1
AWAY Ilves Tampere
0.75 xG 1.36
63% Ball Possession 37%
8 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
532 Passes 286
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter Turku vs Ilves Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku nicked a narrow win over Ilves Tampere 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Inter Turku as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Inter Turku had 63% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 37%, shots finished 8-5, expected goals 0.75 to 1.36 — the balance of chances actually favoured Ilves Tampere.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Turku had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Inter Turku and 0.83 for Ilves Tampere.

What was the final score of Inter Turku vs Ilves Tampere?

Inter Turku 2-1 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Turku vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Inter Turku 43%, draw 21%, Ilves Tampere 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Turku), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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