Institute FC 3-0 Ballinamallard United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.82
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.82
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
9.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
50%
+3.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.0pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-0.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Institute FC EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.50/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.66
-24% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Institute FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ballinamallard United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
31.01.2026 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-1 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
13.01.2026 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-3 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRK
06.12.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 2-2 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
16.09.2025 Institute FC Institute FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
05.04.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 2-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
01.03.2025 Institute FC Institute FC 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Institute FC vs Ballinamallard United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC ran out comfortable winners over Ballinamallard United 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Institute FC as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Institute FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Institute FC and 0.67 for Ballinamallard United.

What was the final score of Institute FC vs Ballinamallard United?

Institute FC 3-0 Ballinamallard United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Institute FC vs Ballinamallard United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Institute FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Institute FC 54%, draw 21%, Ballinamallard United 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Institute FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Institute FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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