Ballinamallard United 0-1 Institute FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
40%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.25
6+ Goals
9%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 29% vs market 22.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+7.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Institute FC EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.66/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.71
-3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Institute FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
13.01.2026 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-3 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRK
06.12.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 2-2 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
16.09.2025 Institute FC Institute FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
05.04.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 2-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
01.03.2025 Institute FC Institute FC 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
19.10.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 2-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Institute FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC squeezed past Ballinamallard United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; Institute FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Institute FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ballinamallard United and 1.33 for Institute FC.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Institute FC?

Ballinamallard United 0-1 Institute FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Institute FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Institute FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 37%, draw 23%, Institute FC 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Institute FC), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Institute FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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