Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nottingham Forest v Chelsea — Team-Based Signals
Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Nottingham Forest
İNP
2-2
HT 0-1
Nottingham Forest
İNP
1-1
HT 0-1
Chelsea
İNP
2-0
HT 2-0
Nottingham Forest
FAK
2-0
HT 0-0
Nottingham Forest
FAK
5-1
HT 3-0
Nottingham Forest
İNLK
Nottingham Forest 2-3 Chelsea — Actual Match Statistics
Chelsea nicked a narrow win over Nottingham Forest 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Chelsea made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Nottingham Forest had 32% of the ball to Chelsea's 68%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 1.55 to 1.62.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nottingham Forest and 2.00 for Chelsea.
What was the final score of Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea?
Nottingham Forest 2-3 Chelsea in the England - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest 36%, draw 25%, Chelsea 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.