Amazonas 1-0 Santos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.09
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
47%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.47
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.83
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
17%
+8.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
47%
Away Win
58%
-11.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.6pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amazonas EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
244 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amazonas
1-0
AWAY Santos
0.23 xG 0.84
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
378 Passes 506
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Amazonas vs Santos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amazonas nicked a narrow win over Santos 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Santos at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Amazonas had 44% of the ball to Santos's 56%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.23 to 0.84 — on chances, Santos could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Amazonas vs Santos?

Amazonas 1-0 Santos in the Brazil - Serie B on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amazonas vs Santos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Amazonas 25%, draw 28%, Santos 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Santos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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