Goias 2-0 Ituano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 11 May 2024

Goias
2-0 HT 1-0
Ituano
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.43
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
25%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.29
No
50%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.89
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.03
6+ Goals
9%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
66%
-17.9pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.2pp
25%
Away Win
12%
+12.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.2pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goias EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ituano EU Bookmakers 15%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
1.33/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.35
+10% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 68%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
20.5 Crosses 15.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goias
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ituano
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
28.05.2015 Goias Goias 3-1 HT 1-0 Ituano Ituano BRK
21.05.2015 Ituano Ituano 2-0 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Goias
2-0
AWAY Ituano
1.44 xG 0.34
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
368 Passes 400
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
21 Box Touches 12
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Goias vs Ituano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goias beat Ituano 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Goias as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Goias had 48% of the ball to Ituano's 52%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.44 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Goias and 1.50 for Ituano.

What was the final score of Goias vs Ituano?

Goias 2-0 Ituano in the Brazil - Serie B on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goias vs Ituano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Goias 48%, draw 27%, Ituano 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Goias), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Goias) ✓ Under 2.5
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