Guarani FC 2-0 Botafogo SP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.19
No
64%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
15%
5.81
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.8pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.3pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guarani FC EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.46/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.15
-10% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +16%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
23.7 Crosses 14.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guarani FC
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Botafogo SP
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.23 xG 0.95
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
406 Passes 247
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Guarani FC Guarani FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
04.07.2023 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 1-0 HT 0-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
29.01.2023 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 3-2 HT 2-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BREPAU
10.02.2022 Guarani FC Guarani FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BREPAU
04.03.2021 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-1 HT 0-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BREPAU
21.11.2020 Guarani FC Guarani FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guarani FC
2-0
AWAY Botafogo SP
0.65 xG 0.45
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
274 Passes 371
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
5 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Guarani FC vs Botafogo SP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guarani FC got the better of Botafogo SP 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Guarani FC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Guarani FC had 44% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 56%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.65 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo SP led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Guarani FC and 1.33 for Botafogo SP.

What was the final score of Guarani FC vs Botafogo SP?

Guarani FC 2-0 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guarani FC vs Botafogo SP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guarani FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Guarani FC 49%, draw 29%, Botafogo SP 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guarani FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guarani FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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