Deportivo Saprissa 2-0 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 11 May 2026

📅11/05/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
16%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.1
Over 2.5
61%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.85
No
39%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
65%
-2.6pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.6pp
16%
Away Win
15%
+1.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
50%
+10.5pp
39%
BTTS No
50%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.93/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.84
+4% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
434 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Municipal Liberia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2026 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
13.04.2026 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 1-2 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
30.03.2026 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 5-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTK
26.03.2026 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTK
16.02.2026 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
01.12.2025 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-1 HT 2-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
2-0
AWAY Municipal Liberia
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa saw off Municipal Liberia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo Saprissa as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Saprissa had 56% of the ball to Municipal Liberia's 44%, shots finished 15-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Deportivo Saprissa and 1.00 for Municipal Liberia.

What was the final score of Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia?

Deportivo Saprissa 2-0 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Saprissa 62%, draw 22%, Municipal Liberia 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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