Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sportivo Ameliano v Deportivo Recoleta — Team-Based Signals
Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Sportivo Ameliano 3-2 Deportivo Recoleta — Actual Match Statistics
Sportivo Ameliano edged past Deportivo Recoleta 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sportivo Ameliano as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Sportivo Ameliano had 51% of the ball to Deportivo Recoleta's 49%, shots finished 15-7.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Deportivo Recoleta led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sportivo Ameliano and 2.20 for Deportivo Recoleta.
What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Sportivo Ameliano 3-2 Deportivo Recoleta in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Ameliano win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 45%, draw 27%, Deportivo Recoleta 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sportivo Ameliano), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.