Sportivo Luqueno 2-3 Libertad — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 11 May 2026

📅11/05/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 03:04
Match Result
Home
35%
2.45
Draw
30%
3.02
Away
35%
2.71
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
55%
1.69
Over
45%
2.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.87
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
48%
4-5
19%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
2%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Sportivo Luqueno The Market 41%
Signal
AWAY Libertad The Market 37%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.07 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.31
1.29 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.53
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Weak
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Libertad
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2026 Libertad Libertad 1-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
14.09.2025 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-4 HT 1-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
06.07.2025 Libertad Libertad 0-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
12.05.2025 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
01.03.2025 Libertad Libertad 3-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
14.11.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PARK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
2 - 3
AWAY Libertad
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Libertad edged past Sportivo Luqueno 3-2 on the road. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

From a near-even 35% / 30% / 35% read, it was Libertad who turned the coin-flip their way. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (55%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Sportivo Luqueno had 60% of the ball to Libertad's 40%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sportivo Luqueno and 1.67 for Libertad.

Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Result & Final Score

Sportivo Luqueno 2 - 3 Libertad in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Luqueno win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Luqueno 35%, draw 30%, Libertad 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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