Sportivo Luqueno 2-3 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 11 May 2026

📅11/05/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
41%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.64
Over 2.5
54%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.88
No
44%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.9pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.3pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+7.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
57%
-10.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
43%
+10.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.5pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -21%
0.89/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.42
-25% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 1.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Libertad
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2026 Libertad Libertad 1-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
14.09.2025 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-4 HT 1-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
06.07.2025 Libertad Libertad 0-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
12.05.2025 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
01.03.2025 Libertad Libertad 3-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
14.11.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PARK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
2-3
AWAY Libertad
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad edged past Sportivo Luqueno 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Libertad made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Sportivo Luqueno had 60% of the ball to Libertad's 40%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sportivo Luqueno and 1.67 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad?

Sportivo Luqueno 2-3 Libertad in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Luqueno 35%, draw 24%, Libertad 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Libertad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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