Akron 1-3 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 11 May 2026

Akron
1-3 HT 1-3
Rostov
📅11/05/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.13
6+ Goals
9%
20.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.91
1/2
12%
28.5
1/X
5%
13.9
X/1
9%
6.42
X/2
16%
4.84
X/X
17%
4.11
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
16%
3.18
2/X
8%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-4.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akron EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +26%
1.35/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.09
+26% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +35%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
251 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 74%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
22.7 Crosses 19.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akron
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Rostov
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.82 xG 1.41
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
253 Passes 282
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.11.2025 Rostov Rostov 0-1 HT 0-0 Akron Akron RUS
31.03.2025 Akron Akron 2-3 HT 1-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
28.09.2024 Rostov Rostov 0-2 HT 0-2 Akron Akron RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Akron
1-3
AWAY Rostov
1.47 xG 2.04
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
280 Passes 175
72% Pass Accuracy 63%
32 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Akron vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov beat Akron 3-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rostov as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Akron had 59% of the ball to Rostov's 41%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.47 to 2.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Akron had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Akron and 1.00 for Rostov.

What was the final score of Akron vs Rostov?

Akron 1-3 Rostov in the Russia - Premier League on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akron vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Akron 26%, draw 29%, Rostov 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rostov), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rostov) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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