Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-2 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 11 May 2026

Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1-2 HT 1-0
CSKA Moskova
📅11/05/2026 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moskova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
22%
3.54
6+ Goals
12%
14.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.54 — our 22% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.63
1/2 EV+ ✓
10%
26.0
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
9%
6.41
X/2
16%
4.96
X/X
13%
4.58
2/1
5%
32.5
2/2
16%
3.11
2/X
7%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 10% vs market 1.8%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.9pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod v CSKA Moskova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 46%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
1.19/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.18
+4% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +18%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
15.1 Crosses 16.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moskova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0W-1D-5L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.85 xG 2.18
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
298 Passes 451
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
31.10.2025 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-0 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
24.05.2025 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-0 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
01.10.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-2 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
14.08.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-1 HT 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
27.07.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-3 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
20.05.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-6 HT 0-3 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
POST-MATCH Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova edged past Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CSKA Moskova as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Pari Nizhny Novgorod and 2.67 for CSKA Moskova.

What was the final score of Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moskova?

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-2 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Pari Nizhny Novgorod 30%, draw 28%, CSKA Moskova 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS More Russia - Premier League
11 May 2026
13:00 Akron vs Rostov Analysis →
17:30 Spartak Moskova vs Rubin Kazan Analysis →
20:00 Dinamo Moscow vs Krasnodar Analysis →