Spartak Moskova vs Rubin Kazan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spartak Moskova v Rubin Kazan — Team-Based Signals
Spartak Moskova vs Rubin Kazan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 1-1
Spartak Moskova
RUS
1-1
HT 0-1
Rubin Kazan
RUS
Spartak Moskova 2-1 Rubin Kazan — Actual Match Statistics
Spartak Moskova squeezed past Rubin Kazan 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Spartak Moskova as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Spartak Moskova had 66% of the ball to Rubin Kazan's 34%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 3.16 to 0.56 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Spartak Moskova's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Spartak Moskova and 0.83 for Rubin Kazan.
What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs Rubin Kazan?
Spartak Moskova 2-1 Rubin Kazan in the Russia - Premier League on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs Rubin Kazan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 60%, draw 23%, Rubin Kazan 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.