Brezilya vs Paraguay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Brezilya v Paraguay — Team-Based Signals
Brezilya vs Paraguay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Brezilya 1-0 Paraguay — Actual Match Statistics
Brezilya nicked a narrow win over Paraguay 1-0.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Brezilya as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Brezilya had 73% of the ball to Paraguay's 27%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 2.20 to 0.22 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Brezilya's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brezilya had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Brezilya and 0.33 for Paraguay.
Brezilya vs Paraguay Result & Final Score
Brezilya 1 - 0 Paraguay in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Brezilya vs Paraguay Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Brezilya win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Brezilya 72%, draw 19%, Paraguay 9%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brezilya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.