Brezilya vs Paraguay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brezilya v Paraguay — Team-Based Signals
Brezilya vs Paraguay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Paraguay
DKE
0-2
HT 0-1
Brezilya
DKE
0-0
HT 0-0
Paraguay
AKU
3-0
HT 1-0
Paraguay
DKE
Brezilya 1-0 Paraguay — Actual Match Statistics
Brezilya nicked a narrow win over Paraguay 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Brezilya as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.
On the day, Brezilya had 73% of the ball to Paraguay's 27%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 2.20 to 0.22 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Brezilya's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brezilya had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Brezilya and 0.33 for Paraguay.
What was the final score of Brezilya vs Paraguay?
Brezilya 1-0 Paraguay in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brezilya vs Paraguay?
Before kick-off our model rated a Brezilya win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Brezilya 60%, draw 24%, Paraguay 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brezilya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.