Peru 0-0 Ekvador — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 11 Jun 2025

Peru
0-0 HT 0-0
Ekvador
📅11/06/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Peru vs Ekvador Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.08
Draw
31%
2.7
Away
43%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.33
Over 2.5
34%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.51
No
66%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.75
2-3 Goals
43%
1.92
4-5 Goals
13%
8.13
6+ Goals
5%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.55
1/2
11%
35.0
1/X
9%
16.4
X/1
7%
6.2
X/2
14%
4.83
X/X
16%
2.99
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
18%
3.83
2/X
6%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
29%
-3.8pp
31%
Draw
34%
-2.3pp
43%
Away Win
37%
+6.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
72%
-5.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
28%
+5.7pp
34%
BTTS Yes
36%
-1.3pp
66%
BTTS No
64%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Peru v Ekvador — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peru EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekvador EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -15%
1.04/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.65
+15% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -73% / +88%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
13.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
13.4 Crosses 15.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Peru vs Ekvador Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peru
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ekvador
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.83 xG 1.02
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
337 Passes 325
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.09.2024 Ekvador Ekvador 1-0 HT 0-0 Peru Peru DKE
02.02.2022 Peru Peru 1-1 HT 0-1 Ekvador Ekvador DKE
24.06.2021 Ekvador Ekvador 2-2 HT 2-0 Peru Peru AKU
09.06.2021 Ekvador Ekvador 1-2 HT 0-0 Peru Peru DKE
06.09.2019 Peru Peru 0-1 HT 0-0 Ekvador Ekvador HAZ
16.11.2018 Peru Peru 0-2 HT 0-0 Ekvador Ekvador HAZ

Peru 0-0 Ekvador — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peru
0-0
AWAY Ekvador
0.70 xG 0.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 0
318 Passes 304
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Peru vs Ekvador
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peru and Ekvador fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Ekvador at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

On the day, Peru had 53% of the ball to Ekvador's 47%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.70 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ekvador led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Peru and 1.33 for Ekvador.

What was the final score of Peru vs Ekvador?

Peru 0-0 Ekvador in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peru vs Ekvador?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ekvador win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Peru 25%, draw 31%, Ekvador 43%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ekvador) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ekvador) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DKE More World Cup Qualifiers
11 Jun 2025
01:00 St. Lucia vs Barbados Analysis →
01:00 Haiti vs Curaçao Analysis →
02:00 Uruguay vs Venezuela Analysis →
02:00 Jamaika vs Guatemala Analysis →
02:00 Dominik Cumhuriyeti vs Dominika Analysis →
03:00 Arjantin vs Kolombiya Analysis →