Forge 1-0 HFX Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 11 Jun 2026

📅11/06/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.04
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
25%
3.44
6+ Goals
8%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 29% vs market 25.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
69%
-8.8pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.2pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+3.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forge EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.12/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.94
+3% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +17%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
408 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
17.4 Crosses 12.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forge
4W-1D-1L
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.21 xG 1.38
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
384 Passes 374
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2026 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-3 HT 0-1 Forge Forge KAPL
06.09.2025 Forge Forge 1-0 HT 0-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
26.07.2025 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-2 HT 1-1 Forge Forge KAPL
08.06.2025 Forge Forge 2-1 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
03.05.2025 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Forge Forge KAPL
14.09.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 3-0 HT 1-0 Forge Forge KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forge
1-0
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.91 xG 1.29
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
360 Passes 394
28 Box Touches 9
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Forge vs HFX Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forge nicked a narrow win over HFX Wanderers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Forge as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.91 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forge had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Forge and 1.00 for HFX Wanderers.

What was the final score of Forge vs HFX Wanderers?

Forge 1-0 HFX Wanderers in the Kanada - Premier League on 11/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forge vs HFX Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Forge 60%, draw 25%, HFX Wanderers 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forge), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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