York United vs Cavalry Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
York United v Cavalry — Team-Based Signals
York United vs Cavalry Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
York United 1-5 Cavalry — Actual Match Statistics
Cavalry ran out comfortable winners over York United 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cavalry as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 0.76 to 4.22.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for York United and 1.67 for Cavalry.
What was the final score of York United vs Cavalry?
York United 1-5 Cavalry in the Kanada - Premier League on 11/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for York United vs Cavalry?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split York United 25%, draw 26%, Cavalry 49%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cavalry), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.