Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 Telstar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 11 Jul 2026

📅11/07/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.55
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
2.66
6+ Goals
9%
7.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.4pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Telstar EU Bookmakers 37%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
1.13/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-26% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
338 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Telstar
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.97 xG 0.91
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
345 Passes 275
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2026 Telstar Telstar 4-1 HT 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
25.10.2025 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 HT 1-0 Telstar Telstar HOL
25.01.2019 Telstar Telstar 1-1 HT 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL2
26.10.2018 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 3-2 HT 2-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
19.02.2016 Telstar Telstar 1-3 HT 1-2 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL2
25.09.2015 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 HT 1-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
1-0
AWAY Telstar
13 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Sparta Rotterdam vs Telstar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Rotterdam nicked a narrow win over Telstar 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Sparta Rotterdam made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 13-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.50 for Telstar.

What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs Telstar?

Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 Telstar in the Friendlies on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs Telstar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 40%, draw 25%, Telstar 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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