Libertad (Ekvador) 2-1 Uni. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 11 Aug 2026

Libertad (Ekvador)
2 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Uni. Catolica
📅11/08/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2026

Libertad (Ekvador) vs Uni. Catolica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.35
Away Pick
51%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.91
Over
49%
1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
46%
4-5
22%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
2%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Libertad (Ekvador) v Uni. Catolica — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Libertad (Ekvador) The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Uni. Catolica The Market 53%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.16 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.69
1.45 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.78
Great Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Strong
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
274 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 79%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2

Libertad (Ekvador) vs Uni. Catolica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad (Ekvador)
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Uni. Catolica
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.09 xG 2.47
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
214 Passes 415
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.04.2026 Uni. Catolica Uni. Catolica 2-0 HT 0-0 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) EKV1
22.11.2025 Uni. Catolica Uni. Catolica 1-1 HT 1-0 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) EKV1
20.10.2025 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) 1-1 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica Uni. Catolica EKV1
17.08.2025 Uni. Catolica Uni. Catolica 1-1 HT 1-1 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) EKV1
29.04.2025 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) 3-1 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica Uni. Catolica EKV1
10.08.2024 Uni. Catolica Uni. Catolica 1-2 HT 0-0 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) EKV1
REVIEW Libertad (Ekvador) vs Uni. Catolica
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Libertad (Ekvador) came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Uni. Catolica 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

A gentle 51% lean on Uni. Catolica didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad (Ekvador) had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Libertad (Ekvador) and 1.17 for Uni. Catolica.

Libertad (Ekvador) vs Uni. Catolica Result & Final Score

Libertad (Ekvador) 2 - 1 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 11/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Libertad (Ekvador) vs Uni. Catolica Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Libertad (Ekvador) 23%, draw 26%, Uni. Catolica 51%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✗ Under 2.5
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