Uni. Catolica 2-0 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
12%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
68%
-2.3pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.4pp
12%
Away Win
13%
-1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +21%
1.82/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.52
+0% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +22%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 72%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
20.7 Crosses 15.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni. Catolica
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Libertad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.24 xG 1.12
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
399 Passes 194
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2025 Uni. Catolica 1-1 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
20.10.2025 Libertad Libertad 1-1 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
17.08.2025 Uni. Catolica 1-1 HT 1-1 Libertad Libertad EKV1
29.04.2025 Libertad Libertad 3-1 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
10.08.2024 Uni. Catolica 1-2 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
25.07.2024 Uni. Catolica 1-1 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
2-0
AWAY Libertad
2.40 xG 0.51
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
465 Passes 300
89% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 7
21 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Uni. Catolica vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica got the better of Libertad 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Uni. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Uni. Catolica had 59% of the ball to Libertad's 41%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.40 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Uni. Catolica and 1.50 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs Libertad?

Uni. Catolica 2-0 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 66%, draw 22%, Libertad 12%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uni. Catolica), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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