Caracas FC 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 11 Aug 2026

📅11/08/2026 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.3pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.2pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.05/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.03
-42% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 81%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
15.9 Crosses 17.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caracas FC
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.49 xG 1.01
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
322 Passes 334
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.02.2026 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 HT 1-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
28.08.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-0 HT 1-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VENK
21.08.2025 Caracas FC Caracas FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VENK
24.07.2025 Caracas FC Caracas FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
07.03.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-2 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC CSA
16.02.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-0 HT 1-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caracas FC
1-1
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.27 xG 0.73
5 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
152 Passes 248
11 Box Touches 13
10 Crosses 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Caracas FC vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caracas FC and Deportivo La Guaira shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 31% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 5-10, expected goals 0.27 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Caracas FC and 1.33 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of Caracas FC vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Caracas FC 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 11/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caracas FC vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Caracas FC 29%, draw 31%, Deportivo La Guaira 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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