UCV 2-0 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 11 Sep 2025

📅11/09/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
18%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+5.6pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.7pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCV EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 49%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.40
+100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
233 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCV
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.20 xG 1.30
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
224 Passes 296
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.07.2025 UCV UCV 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
22.05.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-1 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
17.05.2025 UCV UCV 3-2 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
03.02.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-2 HT 2-1 UCV UCV VEN
03.09.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 HT 1-0 UCV UCV VEN
12.07.2024 UCV UCV 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VENK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCV
2-0
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV got the better of Deportivo La Guaira 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo La Guaira at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, UCV had 34% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 66%, shots finished 4-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for UCV and 1.33 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira?

UCV 2-0 Deportivo La Guaira in the VENK on 11/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split UCV 35%, draw 22%, Deportivo La Guaira 43%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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