UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
UCV v Deportivo La Guaira — Team-Based Signals
UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
UCV 1-2 Deportivo La Guaira — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo La Guaira nicked a narrow win over UCV 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 32% / 39% — and on the day Deportivo La Guaira made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, UCV had 53% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 47%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.25 to 2.51 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Deportivo La Guaira's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for UCV and 1.33 for Deportivo La Guaira.
What was the final score of UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira?
UCV 1-2 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira?
Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split UCV 29%, draw 32%, Deportivo La Guaira 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.