Deportivo La Guaira 0-1 UCV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 22 May 2025

📅22/05/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.9pp
34%
Draw
28%
+6.1pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.5pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY UCV EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +22%
1.11/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.16
-7% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 77%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
18.1 Crosses 17.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
2W-2D-2L
AWAY UCV
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.16 xG 1.06
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
291 Passes 243
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.05.2025 UCV UCV 3-2 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
03.02.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-2 HT 2-1 UCV UCV VEN
03.09.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 HT 1-0 UCV UCV VEN
12.07.2024 UCV UCV 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VENK
26.05.2024 UCV UCV 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
27.04.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-2 HT 0-1 UCV UCV VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
0-1
AWAY UCV
0.32 xG 0.52
61% Ball Possession 39%
5 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
356 Passes 210
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV squeezed past Deportivo La Guaira 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo La Guaira at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 61% of the ball to UCV's 39%, shots finished 5-9, expected goals 0.32 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 1.17 for UCV.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV?

Deportivo La Guaira 0-1 UCV in the Venezuela - Premier League on 22/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 41%, draw 34%, UCV 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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