Slovakya 2-2 İsveç — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.78
Over Pick
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
23%
3.06
2-3
44%
1.78
4-5
22%
3.82
6+
11%
16.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.68
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
11%
5.42
X/2
15%
5.69
X/X
13%
4.28
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
14%
3.94
2/X
7%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.5 — our 8% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovakya EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY İsveç EU Bookmakers 38%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
0.53/2.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.42
+16% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
7.0 Crosses 15.0
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovakya
0W-2D-2L
AWAY İsveç
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.86 xG 1.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
539 Passes 314
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.06.2021 İsveç İsveç 1-0 HT 0-0 Slovakya Slovakya AVR
16.10.2018 İsveç İsveç 1-1 HT 0-0 Slovakya Slovakya HAZ
12.01.2017 İsveç İsveç 6-0 HT 1-0 Slovakya Slovakya Dünya - FIFA Dışı Hazırlık
26.03.2013 Slovakya Slovakya 0-0 HT 0-0 İsveç İsveç HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovakya
2-2
AWAY İsveç
1.84 xG 2.10
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
261 Passes 316
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 43
19 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slovakya vs İsveç
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovakya and İsveç couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Slovakya had 47% of the ball to İsveç's 53%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 1.84 to 2.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, İsveç led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Slovakya and 2.00 for İsveç.

What was the final score of Slovakya vs İsveç?

Slovakya 2-2 İsveç in the UEFA Uluslar League on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovakya vs İsveç?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slovakya win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Slovakya 38%, draw 26%, İsveç 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Slovakya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slovakya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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