Irak vs Endonezya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Irak v Endonezya — Team-Based Signals
Irak vs Endonezya Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
5-1
HT 2-1
Endonezya
DKE
0-2
HT 0-2
Irak
ASKE
1-0
HT 0-0
Endonezya
ASKE
Irak 1-0 Endonezya — Actual Match Statistics
Irak nicked a narrow win over Endonezya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Irak as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Irak had 45% of the ball to Endonezya's 55%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.26 to 0.69 — on chances, Endonezya could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Irak had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Irak and 0.40 for Endonezya.
What was the final score of Irak vs Endonezya?
Irak 1-0 Endonezya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Irak vs Endonezya?
Before kick-off our model rated a Irak win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Irak 53%, draw 29%, Endonezya 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Irak) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.