Portekiz 1-0 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
80%
1.16
Draw
14%
6.26
Away
6%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.43
Over 2.5
63%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.33
No
53%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
29%
2.67
6+ Goals
13%
6.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1.27
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
3%
31.5
X/1
25%
3.67
X/2
2%
33.5
X/X
7%
9.99
2/1
11%
26.5
2/2
3%
32.0
2/X
3%
35.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
80%
Home Win
82%
-1.5pp
14%
Draw
13%
+0.8pp
6%
Away Win
6%
+0.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
38%
-0.2pp
63%
Over 2.5
62%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
39%
+7.9pp
53%
BTTS No
61%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portekiz EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY İrlanda Cumhuriyeti EU Bookmakers 8%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
3.33/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/2.94
-3% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +96% / +32%
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
487 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
35.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
26.3 Crosses 9.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portekiz
3W-1D-1L
AWAY İrlanda Cumhuriyeti
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.61 xG 0.58
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
547 Passes 270
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
11.06.2024 Portekiz Portekiz 3-0 HT 1-0 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti HAZ
11.11.2021 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 0-0 HT 0-0 Portekiz Portekiz DKE
01.09.2021 Portekiz Portekiz 2-1 HT 0-1 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti DKE
11.06.2014 Portekiz Portekiz 5-1 HT 3-0 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti HAZ
09.02.2005 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 1-0 HT 1-0 Portekiz Portekiz HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portekiz
1-0
AWAY İrlanda Cumhuriyeti
2.97 xG 0.09
70% Ball Possession 30%
30 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 0
618 Passes 226
92% Pass Accuracy 77%
40 Box Touches 6
43 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Portekiz vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portekiz squeezed past İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Portekiz as the likeliest winner at 80%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portekiz had 70% of the ball to İrlanda Cumhuriyeti's 30%, shots finished 30-2, expected goals 2.97 to 0.09 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Portekiz's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Portekiz had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Portekiz and 0.60 for İrlanda Cumhuriyeti.

What was the final score of Portekiz vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti?

Portekiz 1-0 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portekiz vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portekiz win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Portekiz 80%, draw 14%, İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 6%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portekiz), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portekiz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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