Gateshead 1-0 Dagenham & Redbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 12 Mar 2024

📅12/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
3.01
6+ Goals
10%
9.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.62
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
16%
4.59
X/2
14%
7.28
X/X
11%
5.51
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
11%
4.96
2/X
9%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.7pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gateshead EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +9%
1.66/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.31
+2% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
406 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gateshead
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.08.2023 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 2-4 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
28.03.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 3-0 HT 2-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
06.08.2022 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 2-2 HT 1-2 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
16.02.2019 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 0-2 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
06.10.2018 Gateshead Gateshead 2-0 HT 2-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
30.03.2018 Gateshead Gateshead 0-0 HT 0-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gateshead
1-0
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gateshead vs Dagenham & Redbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gateshead squeezed past Dagenham & Redbridge 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gateshead as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gateshead had 63% of the ball to Dagenham & Redbridge's 37%, shots finished 14-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gateshead had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Gateshead and 0.67 for Dagenham & Redbridge.

What was the final score of Gateshead vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Gateshead 1-0 Dagenham & Redbridge in the England - National League on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gateshead vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gateshead 41%, draw 28%, Dagenham & Redbridge 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gateshead) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gateshead) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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