Perugia vs Sestri Levante Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Perugia v Sestri Levante — Team-Based Signals
Perugia vs Sestri Levante Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Sestri Levante
İTC
Perugia 2-2 Sestri Levante — Actual Match Statistics
Perugia and Sestri Levante shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Perugia at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Perugia had 70% of the ball to Sestri Levante's 30%, shots finished 18-9.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Perugia and 1.00 for Sestri Levante.
What was the final score of Perugia vs Sestri Levante?
Perugia 2-2 Sestri Levante in the Italy - Serie C on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Perugia vs Sestri Levante?
Before kick-off our model rated a Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Perugia 50%, draw 26%, Sestri Levante 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.