Vis Pesaro 3-0 Athletic Carpi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.8
2-3 Goals
37%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
3.71
6+ Goals
8%
16.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 33% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-9.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
40%
Away Win
31%
+9.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.96/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.41
-23% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vis Pesaro
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Athletic Carpi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2025 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi 1-1 HT 1-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
07.03.2025 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi 2-1 HT 0-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
25.10.2024 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 4-0 HT 2-0 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vis Pesaro
3-0
AWAY Athletic Carpi
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Vis Pesaro vs Athletic Carpi
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Vis Pesaro ran out comfortable winners over Athletic Carpi 3-0 in the Italy - Serie C on 12 Apr 2026. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Vis Pesaro had 44% of the ball to Athletic Carpi's 56%, shots finished 11-18.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Vis Pesaro and 1.00 for Athletic Carpi.

What was the final score of Vis Pesaro vs Athletic Carpi?

Vis Pesaro 3-0 Athletic Carpi in the Italy - Serie C on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vis Pesaro vs Athletic Carpi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Carpi win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vis Pesaro 33%, draw 27%, Athletic Carpi 40%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Athletic Carpi), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Carpi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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