Turan Tovuz 2-1 Sumqayıt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
14%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
60%
+5.2pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
14%
Away Win
17%
-2.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 20%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -11%
1.69/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.41
-15% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
424 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Turan Tovuz
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Sumqayıt
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
25.01.2026 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-1 HT 1-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
04.10.2025 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-3 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
16.03.2025 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-2 HT 1-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
20.10.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-4 HT 1-3 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
11.08.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-0 HT 1-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
19.04.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-4 HT 0-2 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
POST-MATCH Turan Tovuz vs Sumqayıt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Turan Tovuz edged past Sumqayıt 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Turan Tovuz as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Turan Tovuz had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Turan Tovuz and 1.50 for Sumqayıt.

What was the final score of Turan Tovuz vs Sumqayıt?

Turan Tovuz 2-1 Sumqayıt in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Turan Tovuz vs Sumqayıt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Turan Tovuz 65%, draw 21%, Sumqayıt 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Turan Tovuz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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