Molde 4-1 HamKam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 12 Apr 2026

Molde
4 - 1 HT 3 - 0
HamKam
📅12/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2026

Molde vs HamKam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
67%
1.49
Draw
17%
4.19
Away
16%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
2.38
Over
64%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
16%
4.76
2-3
43%
1.91
4-5
30%
2.68
6+
11%
6.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.81
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
4%
15.15
X/1
19%
4.16
X/2
6%
11.9
X/X
10%
6.68
2/1 ✗
4%
19.55
2/2
8%
8.93
2/X
4%
17.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.55 — our 4% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Molde v HamKam — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Molde The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY HamKam The Market 21%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.28 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.09
1.11 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.86
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Average
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
395 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 71%
37 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2

Molde vs HamKam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Molde
4W-1D-1L
AWAY HamKam
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.93 xG 0.91
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
541 Passes 277
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
37 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.08.2025 Molde Molde 1-0 HT 1-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
25.05.2025 HamKam HamKam 2-1 HT 1-1 Molde Molde NOR
25.08.2024 Molde Molde 3-0 HT 1-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
07.04.2024 HamKam HamKam 0-1 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR
03.12.2023 Molde Molde 1-1 HT 0-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
07.05.2023 HamKam HamKam 0-4 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR

Molde 4-1 HamKam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Molde
4 - 1
AWAY HamKam
1.52 xG 0.95
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
469 Passes 296
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Molde vs HamKam
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Molde ran out comfortable winners over HamKam 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Molde as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (58%) landed.

On the day, Molde had 60% of the ball to HamKam's 40%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.52 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Molde and 0.50 for HamKam.

Molde vs HamKam Result & Final Score

Molde 4 - 1 HamKam in the Norway - Eliteserien on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Molde vs HamKam Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Molde 67%, draw 18%, HamKam 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Molde), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Molde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR More Norway - Eliteserien
12 Apr 2026
15:30 Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08 Analysis →
18:00 Aalesund vs KFUM Oslo Analysis →
18:00 Fredrikstad vs Valerenga Analysis →
20:15 Brann vs Sandefjord Analysis →