Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Rosenborg v Sarpsborg 08 — Team-Based Signals
Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Rosenborg 2-1 Sarpsborg 08 — Actual Match Statistics
Rosenborg nicked a narrow win over Sarpsborg 08 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Rosenborg as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Rosenborg had 57% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08's 43%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 2.08 to 0.91.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sarpsborg 08 led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rosenborg and 2.67 for Sarpsborg 08.
Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08 Result & Final Score
Rosenborg 2 - 1 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg 44%, draw 26%, Sarpsborg 08 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosenborg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.