Fredrikstad 1-1 Valerenga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.18
Over
58%
1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
20%
4.22
2-3
45%
1.84
4-5
27%
2.85
6+
8%
8.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.76
1/2
3%
24.35
1/X
5%
12.25
X/1
12%
6.15
X/2
13%
5.76
X/X
15%
5.22
2/1
3%
25.5
2/2
23%
3.39
2/X
5%
12.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.35 — our 3% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Fredrikstad The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Valerenga The Market 42%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.53 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.57
1.37 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.13
Strong Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Great
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
31 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24
24 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fredrikstad
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Valerenga
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.40 xG 1.02
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
280 Passes 368
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.09.2025 Valerenga Valerenga 1-2 HT 0-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOK
05.07.2025 Valerenga Valerenga 1-1 HT 1-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
09.04.2025 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 2-0 HT 1-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
06.10.2024 Valerenga Valerenga 0-1 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOK
16.02.2024 Valerenga Valerenga 1-3 HT 0-2 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad HAZ
01.10.2012 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-2 HT 0-2 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fredrikstad
1 - 1
AWAY Valerenga
1.32 xG 2.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
373 Passes 366
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 38
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Fredrikstad vs Valerenga
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Fredrikstad and Valerenga finished all square at 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals card split: both teams to score (60%) came in, over 2.5 goals (58%) didn't.

On the day, Fredrikstad had 51% of the ball to Valerenga's 49%, shots finished 18-18, expected goals 1.32 to 2.50.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fredrikstad had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fredrikstad and 0.83 for Valerenga.

Fredrikstad vs Valerenga Result & Final Score

Fredrikstad 1 - 1 Valerenga in the Norway - Eliteserien on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Fredrikstad vs Valerenga Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad 35%, draw 25%, Valerenga 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valerenga), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valerenga) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR More Norway - Eliteserien
12 Apr 2026
15:30 Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08 Analysis →
18:00 Aalesund vs KFUM Oslo Analysis →
18:00 Molde vs HamKam Analysis →
20:15 Brann vs Sandefjord Analysis →