Patronato 2-0 Chacarita Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
37%
2.83
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.45
Over 2.5
28%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.16
No
64%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
27%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.8pp
37%
Draw
32%
+4.5pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.3pp
72%
Under 2.5
65%
+6.9pp
28%
Over 2.5
35%
-6.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.5pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patronato EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +17%
1.06/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.77
-4% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patronato
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Chacarita Juniors
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
248 Passes 346
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
20.02.2018 Patronato Patronato 3-0 HT 1-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJ
12.10.2015 Patronato Patronato 6-2 HT 2-1 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
30.05.2015 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 1-1 HT 0-0 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patronato saw off Chacarita Juniors 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (29% / 37% / 34%) promised a tight game; Patronato found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Patronato had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Patronato and 1.00 for Chacarita Juniors.

What was the final score of Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors?

Patronato 2-0 Chacarita Juniors in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Patronato 29%, draw 37%, Chacarita Juniors 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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