Al Nassr 1-1 Al Hilal Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 12 May 2026

📅12/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
41%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.41
No
49%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
5.22
2-3 Goals
43%
1.95
4-5 Goals
18%
2.51
6+ Goals
11%
5.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.22 — our 28% vs market 13.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.9pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.9pp
41%
Away Win
32%
+8.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
67%
-15.9pp
49%
BTTS No
33%
+15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
2.03/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.73
+15% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +128% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
357 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
20.4 Crosses 15.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nassr
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.26 xG 1.62
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
267 Passes 360
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.01.2026 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-1 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
04.04.2025 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 1-3 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
01.11.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
17.08.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1-4 HT 1-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUSK
31.05.2024 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SAKK
17.05.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
1-1
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
1.36 xG 0.91
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
196 Passes 403
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Nassr vs Al Hilal Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr and Al Hilal Riyadh shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 20% / 41%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Nassr had 37% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 63%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 1.36 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Nassr and 1.83 for Al Hilal Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Al Nassr 1-1 Al Hilal Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 12/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 38%, draw 20%, Al Hilal Riyadh 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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