Derry City vs Bohemians Prediction — Model Probabilities
Derry City v Bohemians — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs Bohemians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Derry City 4-1 Bohemians — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City made light work of Bohemians 4-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Derry City found the edge the numbers couldn't.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 50% for over 2.5, 52% on both teams scoring. At 1.67 (~60%), the under-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
Under the surface, Derry City had 44% of the ball to Bohemians's 56%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 3.23 to 0.81.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Derry City and 1.17 for Bohemians.
Derry City vs Bohemians Result & Final Score
Derry City 4-1 Bohemians in the Ireland - Premier League on 12/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Derry City vs Bohemians Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Derry City 40%, draw 25%, Bohemians 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.