Atletico Ottawa 1-1 Forge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
40%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.26
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.35
6+ Goals
12%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 25% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.0pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+7.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Forge EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.64/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.20
+3% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
14.3 Crosses 15.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Ottawa
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Forge
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.37 xG 0.87
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
405 Passes 371
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.05.2025 Forge Forge 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
02.11.2024 Forge Forge 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
12.10.2024 Forge Forge 0-2 HT 0-2 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
11.08.2024 Forge Forge 3-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
29.06.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 4-3 HT 1-0 Forge Forge CAPL
25.05.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 3-0 HT 1-0 Forge Forge CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Ottawa
1-1
AWAY Forge
2.18 xG 1.33
69% Ball Possession 31%
23 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
614 Passes 250
92% Pass Accuracy 83%
35 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Ottawa vs Forge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Ottawa and Forge shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 25% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Atletico Ottawa had 69% of the ball to Forge's 31%, shots finished 23-14, expected goals 2.18 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Atletico Ottawa and 1.50 for Forge.

What was the final score of Atletico Ottawa vs Forge?

Atletico Ottawa 1-1 Forge in the Kanada - Premier League on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Ottawa vs Forge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atletico Ottawa 34%, draw 25%, Forge 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Forge), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forge) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →