Cruzeiro 1-3 Gremio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 12 Jul 2026

📅12/07/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.92
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
48%
+5.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Gremio EU Bookmakers 32%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+19% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruzeiro
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Gremio
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.40 xG 1.01
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
378 Passes 343
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2026 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-0 HT 0-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
06.11.2025 Gremio Gremio 0-1 HT 0-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
14.07.2025 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 4-1 HT 2-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
28.11.2024 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-1 HT 1-1 Gremio Gremio BR1
11.07.2024 Gremio Gremio 0-2 HT 0-2 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
28.08.2023 Gremio Gremio 3-0 HT 1-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
FAQ Cruzeiro vs Gremio
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Gremio beat Cruzeiro 3-1 away from home in the Friendlies on 12 Jul 2026. Half-time: 1-2.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruzeiro have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cruzeiro and 0.83 for Gremio.

What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Gremio?

Cruzeiro 1-3 Gremio in the Friendlies on 12/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Gremio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 53%, draw 22%, Gremio 25%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cruzeiro), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cruzeiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
12 Jul 2026
17:00 De Graafschap vs AEK Atina Analysis →
18:00 Slavia Prag vs Ruzomberok Analysis →
18:00 Paphos FC vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Analysis →
19:00 Zenit St. Petersburg vs Kızılyıldız Analysis →
20:00 Pumas UNAM vs America de Cali Analysis →
22:00 Fluminense vs Bahia Analysis →